International lamb market likely

2018110211:20

Lamb imports from New Zealand are likely to look expensive compared to historical prices, according to one of the UK’s top industry analysts.

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It’s a glimmer of good news for British producers overcoming the effects of the harsh spring weather on this year’s lamb crop.

The June 2018 Agricultural Census published by the Scottish Government showed there were 8% fewer lambs on Scottish farms than at the same point in 2017.

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Over the year sheep numbers were down by 272,600 to 3.14 million head. This left the Scottish lamb crop at a five-year low and 3.9% below its 2013-17 average level.

An analysis of the data shows that the national lambing percentage dropped from a 21st century high of 128.3% in 2017 to a five-year low of 122.9% in 2018, which was around two percentage points below both its five and 10-year averages.

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However, points out Iain Macdonald, Senior Economic Analyst with Quality Meat Scotland (QMS), the lambing percentage did not fall as far as had been feared.

“Indeed, the challenging winter and spring of 2012/2013 had seen the lambing percentage fall as low as 118.7% in June 2013,” he said.

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“This year, part of the reason for such a sharp fall in lamb numbers was a significant fall of 4% in ewe numbers on 2017.”

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